Sunday, July 1, 2012

Crunching Numbers: Tito Ortiz's Last Stand


Esther Lin, MMA Fighting

I just can't do it. I've looked over the statistics. I've analyzed the numbers. I've watched the tape. I simply cannot find a reasonable case - either by qualitative judgment or quantitative evidence - for concluding Tito Ortiz will defeat Forrest Griffin at UFC 148 next Saturday.


To be sure, I am not saying Ortiz won't defeat Griffin. This is the MMA, a sport where part of the ability to win is a function of how well one controls chaos. I'm simply suggesting the belief or suggestion Ortiz will win is rooted in blind faith or the ide...

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